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MEVC Report
Home
About Us
Mission
Origins
Team
Library
MEVC Report
MEVC September 13 Event
Our Amicus Brief for Moore v. Harper
Research & Whitepapers
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Blog
Connect
@mevcusa
Stay Up-To-Date
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Donate
Electoral College Reform Simulator
NEED HELP?
Click here
to open the directions in a new window.
2020 Presidential Election Simulator
Step 1: Select swing states
Notes:
- The options for swing states are:
Florida, Maine (at large), Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska (2nd district), New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada Indiana, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio.
These are the states that had a lower than 3% margin in 2016 or switched from red to blue/blue to red between 2008 and 2016.
-
Only Maine-at-large (2 electoral votes) and Nebraska's 2nd district (1 electoral vote) are swing.
So when you designate Maine as red, blue, or swing, that only applies to the 2 at-large electors--one (first district) will go to the Democrats and one (second district) will go to the Republicans. Similarly, when you designate Nebraska, that only applies to the 2nd district elector--the other 4 electors will go to the Republicans.
Next
Step 2: Select states to pledge their electoral votes
Notes:
-
These states will give their electors to the winner of the national popular vote and appear as green in the bar graph above.
Maine and Nebraska are not options.
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Next
Step 3: Select odds
There are no swing states to set odds for! Continue to the next step.
Odds of Nevada going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Minnesota going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of New Hampshire going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Michigan going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Pennsylvania going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Wisconsin going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Florida going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Maine going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Nebraska going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Indiana going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Iowa going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of North Carolina going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Odds of Ohio going to Republicans vs. Democrats:
Previous
Submit
Results
Republican odds of winning the election:
BEFORE Simulated Changes
AFTER Your Changes: Only campaign to win Electoral College (not the national popular vote)
AFTER Your Changes: Campaign to win both
Democrat odds of winning the election:
BEFORE Simulated Changes
AFTER Your Changes: Only campaign to win Electoral College (not the national popular vote)
AFTER Your Changes: Campaign to win both
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